
Fighter profile
Tom Nolan
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the LW division (437 fighters).
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 6 UFC fights · 54:01 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Tom has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Tom, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 6 close-line bets
66% implied
ROI −3.0%
Avg -385
ROI +180.3%
Avg +158
Based on 6 of 6 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06-06Nolan+26031/662/606:47Ziam-33816/323/505:07
- SUB · R1 4:08UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09-27Nolan-16526/611/100:34Campbell+13315/420/100:18
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02-08Nolan+10169/1751/802:01Borshchev-12166/1180/003:11
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08-17Nolan-132784/1760/000:22Reyes+76869/1402/504:16
- KO/TKO · R1 3:50UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05-18Nolan-50033/640/000:02Martinez+36018/260/110:48
- KO/TKO · R1 1:03UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01-13Nolan-37612/200/00—Motta+28621/400/010:09
- Nolan-14513/240/020:52Grad+1202/40/00—
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

