
Fighter profile
Tom Aspinall
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the HW division (263 fighters).
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 10 UFC fights · 22:56 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Tom has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Tom, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 9 close-line bets
71% implied
ROI +24.8%
Avg -251
ROI —
Avg —
Based on 9 of 9 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- KO/TKO · R1 1:00UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07-27Aspinall-41614/190/010:13Blaydes+3075/110/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 1:09UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11-11Aspinall-13010/140/010:02Pavlovich+1101/70/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 1:13UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07-22Aspinall-52113/180/010:05Tybura+3874/150/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 0:15UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07-23Aspinall-1603/50/00—Blaydes+1344/100/000:01
- SUB · R1 3:45UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03-19Aspinall-13929/432/201:54Volkov+11513/230/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 2:30UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09-04Aspinall-24016/260/010:03Spivac+1950/110/20—
- SUB · R2 1:09UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02-20Aspinall-28037/601/102:17Arlovski+22520/550/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 1:35UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10-10Aspinall-56016/251/100:30Baudot+4003/120/00—
- KO/TKO · R1 0:45UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07-25Aspinall-27810/100/010:02Collier+2203/90/00—
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

