The Ultimate Fight Fan
Rafael Estevam

Fighter profile

Rafael Estevam

BW14-1-0P4P #294Div #35
Form
4.0
6.1
5.7
6.0
 
77
Overall
SoS 54
Skill ratings
Striking
68
Boxing
64
Kicking
60
Clinch
51
Striking def.
65
Wrestling off.
82
Wrestling def.
73
Ground game
78
Submissions
60
Grappling def.
73
Profile
Age30
Height5'8"
Reach69"
StanceOrthodox
StyleBalanced
CountryBRA
Pro debut2015
UFC record3-1-0
Last fight2026-04-04
Octagon time64.2 min
Avg fight12.8 min
Career length11y 1m
Elo trajectory
Skill Elos

Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the BW division (261 fighters).

Fought across 2 divisions:3 FLW · 1 BW (now)

Striking offense1492
22nd
BW avg 1500
Striking defense1484
6th
BW avg 1500
Grappling offense1500
60th
BW avg 1496
Grappling defense1500
50th
BW avg 1504
Momentum47
83rd
BW avg 23
Win / loss by method
Record: 14-1-0

Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.

KO/TKO
4 wins, 1 loss
W
29% of wins
L
100% of losses
Submission
3 wins, 0 losses
W
21% of wins
L
0% of losses
Decision
7 wins, 0 losses
W
50% of wins
L
0% of losses
UFC
3win1loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
0 (0%)KO/TKO(100%) 1
0 (0%)Submission(0%) 0
3 (100%)Decision(0%) 0
Non-UFC
11win0loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
4 (36%)KO/TKO(—) 0
3 (27%)Submission(—) 0
4 (36%)Decision(—) 0
UFC stats
Filters
Stat
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Striking · offense

Sig. strikes106
Sig. accuracy32%
Sig. attempted328
Total strikes268
Total attempted563
Knockdowns0
Head73
Body19
Leg14
Distance89
Clinch5
Ground12

Striking · defense

Sig. absorbed247
Sig. defense45%
KDs absorbed1
Head abs.167
Body abs.56
Leg abs.24
Distance abs.216
Clinch abs.27
Ground abs.4

Grappling · offense

Takedowns19
TD accuracy33%
TD attempted58
Sub att.1
Reversals0
Control time29:27

Grappling · defense

TD defense67%
TDs absorbed2
TD att. faced6
Sub att. faced4
Controlled time2:22

Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 4 UFC fights · 56:44 total fight time

Schedule strength
Filters
Scope
Opp
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Rafael has faced, inside the UFC and out.

UFC opponents
all-promotion · as of fight night · career
OverallSoft
47W–16Lwin 74.6%div #159/203pct 22nd
WinsSoft
38W–14Lwin 73.1%div #135/176pct 24th
LossesAverage
9W–2Lwin 81.8%div #93/199pct 54th

Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Opponent Elo
UFC P4P · as of fight night · career
OverallAverage
1529 elodiv #125/203pct 39th
WinsAverage
1527 elodiv #90/176pct 49th
LossesAverage
1535 elodiv #121/199pct 40th

Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Non-UFC opponents
all promotions · as of fight night · career
Opp recordOpp win %
Overall58W–18L76.3%
Wins58W–18L76.3%
Losses0W–0L—

Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.

Market profile

How the betting market priced Rafael, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.

Net return
−0.02u−0.5% ROI

over 4 close-line bets

Average odds
-237

70% implied

As favorite
3W–0L

ROI +32.7%

Avg -349

As underdog
0W–1L

ROI −100.0%

Avg +108

Based on 4 of 4 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.

Fight history
Filters
Scope
Stat
Window
CloseSSTDKDCtrl

Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.