The Ultimate Fight Fan
Paul Kelly

Fighter profile

Paul Kelly

LW15-5-0P4P #166Div #46
Form
 
 
 
 
4.1
72
Overall
SoS 53
Skill ratings
Striking
66
Boxing
61
Kicking
56
Clinch
65
Striking def.
70
Wrestling off.
66
Wrestling def.
61
Ground game
82
Submissions
81
Grappling def.
56
Profile
Age41
Height5'9"
Reach70"
StanceOrthodox
StyleBalanced
CountryGBR
Pro debut2005
UFC record5-4-0
Last fight2020-03-07
Octagon time100.9 min
Avg fight11.2 min
Career length21y 0m
Elo trajectory
Skill Elos

Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the LW division (437 fighters).

Fought across 2 divisions:6 LW (now) · 3 WW

Striking offense1487
16th
LW avg 1499
Striking defense1498
48th
LW avg 1499
Grappling offense1510
86th
LW avg 1496
Grappling defense1488
14th
LW avg 1503
Momentum31
76th
LW avg 20
Win / loss by method
Record: 15-5-0

Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.

KO/TKO
8 wins, 1 loss
W
53% of wins
L
20% of losses
Submission
4 wins, 2 losses
W
27% of wins
L
40% of losses
Decision
3 wins, 2 losses
W
20% of wins
L
40% of losses
UFC
5win4loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
1 (20%)KO/TKO(25%) 1
1 (20%)Submission(50%) 2
3 (60%)Decision(25%) 1
Non-UFC
10win1loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
7 (70%)KO/TKO(0%) 0
3 (30%)Submission(0%) 0
0 (0%)Decision(100%) 1
UFC stats
Filters
Stat
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Striking · offense

Sig. strikes325
Sig. accuracy38%
Sig. attempted856
Total strikes744
Total attempted1321
Knockdowns1
Head251
Body48
Leg26
Distance112
Clinch46
Ground167

Striking · defense

Sig. absorbed263
Sig. defense60%
KDs absorbed3
Head abs.166
Body abs.44
Leg abs.53
Distance abs.168
Clinch abs.35
Ground abs.60

Grappling · offense

Takedowns9
TD accuracy60%
TD attempted15
Sub att.10
Reversals9
Control time39:58

Grappling · defense

TD defense31%
TDs absorbed18
TD att. faced26
Sub att. faced12
Controlled time23:38

Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 9 UFC fights · 100:54 total fight time

Schedule strength
Filters
Scope
Opp
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Paul has faced, inside the UFC and out.

UFC opponents
all-promotion · as of fight night · career
OverallAverage
97W–25Lwin 79.5%div #120/294pct 60th
WinsStrong
46W–10Lwin 82.1%div #67/270pct 76th
LossesSoft
51W–15Lwin 77.3%div #198/288pct 32nd

Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Opponent Elo
UFC P4P · as of fight night · career
OverallSoft
1529 elodiv #216/294pct 27th
WinsAverage
1524 elodiv #168/270pct 38th
LossesSoft
1534 elodiv #202/288pct 30th

Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Non-UFC opponents
all promotions · as of fight night · career
Opp recordOpp win %
Overall67W–63L51.5%
Wins45W–52L46.4%
Losses22W–11L66.7%

Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.

Market profile

How the betting market priced Paul, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.

Net return
+1.21u+13.5% ROI

over 9 close-line bets

Average odds
-113

53% implied

As favorite
3W–1L

ROI +1.4%

Avg -314

As underdog
2W–3L

ROI +23.2%

Avg +188

Based on 9 of 9 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.

Fight history
Filters
Scope
Stat
Window
CloseSSTDKDCtrl

Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.