The Ultimate Fight Fan
Matheus Nicolau

Fighter profile

Matheus Nicolau

FLW19-6-1P4P #378Div #31
Form
4.7
3.8
2.8
7.9
6.0
77
Overall
SoS 80
Skill ratings
Striking
66
Boxing
77
Kicking
66
Clinch
41
Striking def.
68
Wrestling off.
59
Wrestling def.
92
Ground game
64
Submissions
76
Grappling def.
90
Profile
Age33
Height5'6"
Reach66"
StanceOrthodox
StyleBalanced
CountryBRA
Pro debut2010
UFC record7-4-0
Last fight2024-10-19
Octagon time123.4 min
Avg fight11.2 min
Career length16y 0m
Elo trajectory
Shadedsuspensionfrom researched absences — hover a band for detail
Skill Elos

Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the FLW division (134 fighters).

Fought across 2 divisions:10 FLW (now) · 1 BW

Striking offense1489
17th
FLW avg 1499
Striking defense1492
21st
FLW avg 1501
Grappling offense1488
24th
FLW avg 1497
Grappling defense1553
99th
FLW avg 1502
Momentum16
47th
FLW avg 26
Win / loss by method
Record: 19-5-1

Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.

KO/TKO
5 wins, 4 losses
W
26% of wins
L
80% of losses
Submission
5 wins, 0 losses
W
26% of wins
L
0% of losses
Decision
9 wins, 1 loss
W
47% of wins
L
20% of losses
UFC
7win4loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
1 (14%)KO/TKO(75%) 3
1 (14%)Submission(0%) 0
5 (71%)Decision(25%) 1
Non-UFC
12win1loss1draw0NC
WinsLosses
4 (33%)KO/TKO(100%) 1
4 (33%)Submission(0%) 0
4 (33%)Decision(0%) 0
UFC stats
Filters
Stat
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Striking · offense

Sig. strikes408
Sig. accuracy52%
Sig. attempted786
Total strikes600
Total attempted1010
Knockdowns8
Head214
Body137
Leg57
Distance354
Clinch4
Ground50

Striking · defense

Sig. absorbed368
Sig. defense66%
KDs absorbed5
Head abs.209
Body abs.78
Leg abs.81
Distance abs.323
Clinch abs.14
Ground abs.31

Grappling · offense

Takedowns10
TD accuracy43%
TD attempted23
Sub att.7
Reversals0
Control time17:53

Grappling · defense

TD defense90%
TDs absorbed2
TD att. faced21
Sub att. faced0
Controlled time10:02

Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 11 UFC fights · 123:25 total fight time

Schedule strength
Filters
Scope
Opp
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Matheus has faced, inside the UFC and out.

UFC opponents
all-promotion · as of fight night · career
OverallSoft
175W–56Lwin 75.8%div #78/110pct 30th
WinsAverage
99W–33Lwin 75.0%div #64/99pct 36th
LossesSoft
76W–23Lwin 76.8%div #78/106pct 27th

Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Opponent Elo
UFC P4P · as of fight night · career
OverallStrong
1549 elodiv #22/110pct 81st
WinsStrong
1537 elodiv #28/99pct 73rd
LossesStrong
1568 elodiv #22/106pct 80th

Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Non-UFC opponents
all promotions · as of fight night · career
Opp recordOpp win %
Overall79W–31L71.8%
Wins67W–30L69.1%
Losses12W–1L92.3%

Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.

Market profile

How the betting market priced Matheus, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.

Net return
+1.19u+10.8% ROI

over 11 close-line bets

Average odds
-145

59% implied

As favorite
4W–3L

ROI −17.2%

Avg -212

As underdog
3W–1L

ROI +59.9%

Avg +128

Based on 11 of 11 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.

Fight history
Filters
Scope
Stat
Window
CloseSSTDKDCtrl

Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.