
Fighter profile
Mario Bautista
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the BW division (261 fighters).
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 15 UFC fights · 156:24 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Mario has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Mario, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 15 close-line bets
54% implied
ROI +27.4%
Avg -240
ROI +69.4%
Avg +181
Based on 15 of 15 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07-11Bautista+124114/1858/2013:21Sandhagen-15189/1761/401:13
- SUB · R2 4:46UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02-07Bautista-13815/275/705:47Oliveira+11612/210/101:39
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10-25Bautista+45420/540/110:04Nurmagomedov-62632/5411/14010:46
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06-07Bautista+146173/3020/00—Mix-174122/3040/10—
- S-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10-05Bautista-12249/1420/1007:15Aldo+10251/1170/00—
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01-13Bautista+154112/2700/300:14Simon-18945/1082/1303:00
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08-19Bautista-20579/1372/1004:04Blackshear+17090/1744/703:00
- SUB · R1 3:18UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03-11Bautista-10453/43/402:36Cannetti+6582/51/100:16
- SUB · R1 4:54UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11-05Bautista-37044/671/102:36Lopez+29017/250/00—
- SUB · R1 2:27UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06-25Bautista-1916/172/201:28Kelleher+1562/30/00—
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02-19Bautista-37072/1254/606:30Perrin+28542/1072/501:45
- KO/TKO · R2 0:47UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03-06Bautista-23521/420/000:09Jones+19123/300/311:26
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07-20Bautista+150129/2480/200:55Soo Son-17095/2002/501:38
- SUB · R1 3:31UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01-19Bautista+4159/301/100:54Sandhagen-52517/541/210:38
- Decision · R3 5:00Combate Americas - Mexico vs. USA · 2018-10-13Bautista——/——/———Pablo Gonzalez——/——/———
- Submission · R1 4:46Smash Global 6 - MMA Black Tie Fight Gala · 2017-09-28Bautista——/——/———Brown——/——/———
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

