
Fighter profile
Keita Nakamura
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the WW division (435 fighters).
Fought across 2 divisions:10 WW (now) · 1 LW
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 11 UFC fights · 157:16 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Keita has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Keita, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 10 close-line bets
46% implied
ROI −45.2%
Avg -173
ROI +11.6%
Avg +160
Based on 10 of 11 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- Nakamura——/——/———Yoshio de Souza——/——/———
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04-20Nakamura-11029/810/100:18Aliev-11025/632/705:46
- S-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12-01Nakamura-15541/970/41—Touahri+13534/790/000:40
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04-21Nakamura+17024/832/501:39Rocco Martin-20056/1330/000:31
- S-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09-22Nakamura-11027/862/200:45Morono-11038/1230/00—
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10-01Nakamura-12524/585/607:41Zaleski dos Santos+10534/1201/101:16
- SUB · R2 4:59UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07-13Nakamura+13541/1130/210:31Noke-15544/772/200:33
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02-27Nakamura+7506/163/604:00Breese-116532/590/006:25
- SUB · R3 2:17UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09-26Nakamura+25540/870/214:20Jingliang-31079/1421/111:35
- Decision · R2 5:00Dream 6 - Middleweight Grand Prix 2008 Final · 2008-09-23Nakamura——/——/———Martins——/——/———
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04-05Nakamura+12532/882/203:01Fickett-14579/1742/506:43
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12-13Nakamura—16/440/100:01Larson—22/555/20010:01
- Technical Decision · R2 4:06Shooto - 12/17 in Shinjuku Face · 2005-12-17Nakamura——/——/———Yoshida——/——/———
- Submission · R1 7:44Kingdom Ehrgeiz - Tokyo University Flight · 2003-12-13Nakamura——/——/———Omori——/——/———
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

