The Ultimate Fight Fan
Keita Nakamura

Fighter profile

Keita Nakamura

WW36-12-2P4P #411Div #58
Form
 
 
 
 
4.8
71
Overall
SoS 54
Skill ratings
Striking
62
Boxing
65
Kicking
54
Clinch
62
Striking def.
74
Wrestling off.
68
Wrestling def.
75
Ground game
62
Submissions
67
Grappling def.
75
Profile
Age42
Height5'11"
Reach73"
StanceSouthpaw
CountryJPN
Pro debut2003
UFC record4-7-0
Last fight2024-03-23
Octagon time157.3 min
Avg fight14.3 min
Career length22y 9m
Elo trajectory
Skill Elos

Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the WW division (435 fighters).

Fought across 2 divisions:10 WW (now) · 1 LW

Striking offense1474
6th
WW avg 1499
Striking defense1515
85th
WW avg 1502
Grappling offense1498
56th
WW avg 1496
Grappling defense1524
87th
WW avg 1505
Momentum31
71st
WW avg 22
Win / loss by method
Record: 36-12-2, 1 NC

Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.

KO/TKO
9 wins, 2 losses
W
25% of wins
L
17% of losses
Submission
16 wins, 1 loss
W
44% of wins
L
8% of losses
Decision
11 wins, 9 losses
W
31% of wins
L
75% of losses
UFC
4win7loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
0 (0%)KO/TKO(0%) 0
2 (50%)Submission(0%) 0
2 (50%)Decision(100%) 7
Non-UFC
32win5loss2draw1NC
WinsLosses
9 (28%)KO/TKO(40%) 2
14 (44%)Submission(20%) 1
9 (28%)Decision(40%) 2
UFC stats
Filters
Stat
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Striking · offense

Sig. strikes337
Sig. accuracy36%
Sig. attempted944
Total strikes567
Total attempted1214
Knockdowns4
Head267
Body49
Leg21
Distance267
Clinch37
Ground33

Striking · defense

Sig. absorbed524
Sig. defense58%
KDs absorbed1
Head abs.346
Body abs.104
Leg abs.74
Distance abs.379
Clinch abs.76
Ground abs.69

Grappling · offense

Takedowns18
TD accuracy51%
TD attempted35
Sub att.4
Reversals2
Control time23:44

Grappling · defense

TD defense64%
TDs absorbed13
TD att. faced36
Sub att. faced5
Controlled time33:30

Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 11 UFC fights · 157:16 total fight time

Schedule strength
Filters
Scope
Opp
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Keita has faced, inside the UFC and out.

UFC opponents
all-promotion · as of fight night · career
OverallStrong
162W–40Lwin 80.2%div #100/300pct 67th
WinsAverage
55W–16Lwin 77.5%div #137/273pct 50th
LossesStrong
107W–24Lwin 81.7%div #105/291pct 64th

Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Opponent Elo
UFC P4P · as of fight night · career
OverallSoft
1533 elodiv #207/300pct 31st
WinsAverage
1535 elodiv #133/273pct 52nd
LossesSoft
1532 elodiv #220/291pct 25th

Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Non-UFC opponents
all promotions · as of fight night · career
Opp recordOpp win %
Overall329W–178L64.9%
Wins267W–158L62.8%
Losses62W–20L75.6%

Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.

Market profile

How the betting market priced Keita, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.

Net return
−0.55u−5.5% ROI

over 10 close-line bets

Average odds
+118

46% implied

As favorite
1W–2L

ROI −45.2%

Avg -173

As underdog
3W–4L

ROI +11.6%

Avg +160

Based on 10 of 11 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.

Fight history
Filters
Scope
Stat
Window
CloseSSTDKDCtrl

Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.