
Fighter profile
Justin Willis
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the HW division (263 fighters).
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 5 UFC fights · 62:33 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Justin has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Justin, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 5 close-line bets
57% implied
ROI +49.8%
Avg -207
ROI −4.5%
Avg +143
Based on 5 of 5 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03-23Willis+2352/90/00—Blaydes-27522/337/11011:44
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12-01Willis-11059/1030/00—Hunt-11019/600/00—
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04-21Willis-29076/1091/213:00Sherman+24569/1370/002:01
- KO/TKO · R1 2:33UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12-02Willis-23022/440/010:02Crowder+19015/380/00—
- U-DEC · R3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07-16Willis-14052/913/403:25Mulheron+13036/1140/000:40
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

