The Ultimate Fight Fan
Justin Gaethje

Fighter profile

Justin Gaethje

LW28-5-0P4P #4Div #1Champion
Form
5.9
7.2
6.1
3.9
8.6
95
Overall
SoS 100
Skill ratings
Striking
89
Boxing
94
Kicking
96
Clinch
89
Striking def.
58
Wrestling off.
31
Wrestling def.
91
Ground game
41
Submissions
42
Grappling def.
94
Profile
Age37
Height5'11"
Reach70"
StanceOrthodox
StyleStriker
CountryUSA
Pro debut2011
UFC record11-5-0
Last fight2026-06-14
Octagon time202.2 min
Avg fight12.6 min
Career length14y 11m
Elo trajectory
Shadedinjuryfrom researched absences — hover a band for detail
Skill Elos

Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the LW division (437 fighters).

Striking offense1553
100th
LW avg 1499
Striking defense1479
5th
LW avg 1499
Grappling offense1469
4th
LW avg 1496
Grappling defense1532
94th
LW avg 1503
Momentum78
98th
LW avg 20
Win / loss by method
Record: 28-5-0

Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.

KO/TKO
21 wins, 3 losses
W
75% of wins
L
60% of losses
Submission
1 win, 2 losses
W
4% of wins
L
40% of losses
Decision
6 wins, 0 losses
W
21% of wins
L
0% of losses
UFC
11win5loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
7 (64%)KO/TKO(60%) 3
0 (0%)Submission(40%) 2
4 (36%)Decision(0%) 0
Non-UFC
17win0loss0draw0NC
WinsLosses
14 (82%)KO/TKO(—) 0
1 (6%)Submission(—) 0
2 (12%)Decision(—) 0
UFC stats
Filters
Stat
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Striking · offense

Sig. strikes1271
Sig. accuracy58%
Sig. attempted2208
Total strikes1406
Total attempted2364
Knockdowns9
Head841
Body139
Leg291
Distance1065
Clinch162
Ground44

Striking · defense

Sig. absorbed1381
Sig. defense51%
KDs absorbed4
Head abs.766
Body abs.437
Leg abs.178
Distance abs.1230
Clinch abs.132
Ground abs.19

Grappling · offense

Takedowns4
TD accuracy27%
TD attempted15
Sub att.0
Reversals0
Control time13:17

Grappling · defense

TD defense73%
TDs absorbed8
TD att. faced30
Sub att. faced3
Controlled time6:37

Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 16 UFC fights · 202:09 total fight time

Schedule strength
Filters
Scope
Opp
Window
Peers
3+ fights

Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Justin has faced, inside the UFC and out.

UFC opponents
all-promotion · as of fight night · career
OverallStrong
361W–78Lwin 82.2%div #67/294pct 78th
WinsStrong
226W–53Lwin 81.0%div #75/270pct 73rd
LossesStrong
135W–25Lwin 84.4%div #73/288pct 75th

Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Opponent Elo
UFC P4P · as of fight night · career
OverallElite
1652 elodiv #2/294pct 100th
WinsElite
1639 elodiv #1/270pct 100th
LossesElite
1681 elodiv #2/288pct 100th

Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).

Non-UFC opponents
all promotions · as of fight night · career
Opp recordOpp win %
Overall244W–97L71.6%
Wins244W–97L71.6%
Losses0W–0L—

Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.

Market profile

How the betting market priced Justin, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.

Net return
+11.25u+70.3% ROI

over 16 close-line bets

Average odds
+117

46% implied

As favorite
2W–2L

ROI −25.0%

Avg -188

As underdog
9W–3L

ROI +102.1%

Avg +152

Based on 16 of 16 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.

Fight history
Filters
Scope
Stat
Window
CloseSSTDKDCtrl

Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.