
Fighter profile
Justin Buchholz
Per-discipline Elo and momentum, each with its percentile within the LW division (437 fighters).
Bar length is fight count (largest bar = full width); shading splits finishes by round and decisions by unanimous vs split — tap a bar for the round-by-round count.
Striking · offense
Striking · defense
Grappling · offense
Grappling · defense
Totals (no benchmarks in this view) · 5 UFC fights · 37:54 total fight time
Opponents' records as of fight night — the quality of opposition Justin has faced, inside the UFC and out.
Div rank, percentile & tier place this view's opp win % among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Mean UFC pound-for-pound Elo of opponents faced (~1500 = average), split by result. Div rank, percentile & tier place it among active division peers with 3+ UFC bouts (career distribution).
Opponents' records as of each fight night, counted from their full pro careers rather than only the bouts we hold — so a regional opponent reads as the fighter they were, not as 0‑0. Always all promotions; SCOPE does not apply here.
How the betting market priced Justin, and the hypothetical return on a flat 1-unit bet at the closing line every UFC fight. Retrospective analytics — not a betting signal.
over 5 close-line bets
31% implied
ROI —
Avg —
ROI −41.0%
Avg +225
Based on 5 of 5 UFC fights with a closing line · draws & no-contests excluded.
- Decision · R5 5:00Showdown Fights 12 - Buchholz vs. Collard 2 · 2013-09-28Buchholz——/——/———Collard——/——/———
- Buchholz——/——/———Castillo——/——/———
- Submission · R3 1:35Showdown Fights 8 - Burkman vs. Yager · 2012-08-25Buchholz——/——/———Collard——/——/———
- KO/TKO · R1 3:23UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09-16Buchholz+2119/490/00—Stephens-25028/500/020:26
- SUB · R1 2:56UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01-23Buchholz+1933/100/00—Wiman-2236/91/102:40
- Submission · R2 0:00AFC 9 - Alaska Fighting Championship · 2005-03-09Buchholz——/——/———Gainey——/——/———
- Submission · R1 0:00AFC 8 - Alaska Fighting Championship · 2005-02-16Buchholz——/——/———Garnand——/——/———
Per-fight: SS & TD shown landed/attempted; Close = consensus closing line.

